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Showing posts from September, 2022

Yield Curve Control Is Happening

Come Back Mr Bond…YCC Is Here!   If Central Banks are not yet waving the white flag, it has been unfoiled. The list of policy-makers using some form of yield curve control (YCC) is getting longer by the day. We re-iterate that the recent market turmoil confirms the tight Global Liquidity backdrop. Markets may be near an inflection in liquidity, if not in policy rates? This year’s ‘get the Fed B/S down and the US$ up’ will surely reverse in 2023 into ‘get the US$ down and the Fed B/S up’. Policy-makers under-estimate the need for QE. The final bear phase is upon us! Mr Bond is back.     See our latest published research , Global View: Come Back Mr Bond…YCC Is Here! - September 2022    

The 2022 Crash?

IMPORTANT IMPORTANT – From Friday 1st July, we will be phasing out emails sent from sender@liquidity.com. To simplify our systems, we are consolidating our email addresses. All our emails will become sender@crossbordercapital.com. From 1st September, emails sent to ANY email account ending in liquidity.com will NOT work. Please update your records before 1st September. You may also receive a direct communication from your contact to this effect. Please feel free to contact us on info@crossbordercapital.com at any time about this change. Icarus Is Falling! A 2022 Market Crash? Evidencing The Rush To Safety   Higher forex volatility and higher bond volatility eventually pass through into higher equity volatility. The second leg-down in this bear market is upon us, characterised by collapsing corporate earnings. Treasury term premia stand at all-time lows: they are consistent with a 20% plus fall in US S&P500 earnings in 2023.