Has The Fed Really Changed Policy?
Has the US Fed Fallen Behind the Curve Again? Does the ‘December 2018 Mini-Crash’ Warn of Approaching Troubles?
• Despite assumed ‘major’ Fed policy change, money market flows remain negative
• Money markets are ‘tight’ and there is a structural shortage of ‘safe’ assets
• Shortages of ‘safe’ assets warn that financial markets are vulnerable to shocks
• Policy-makers have fallen ‘behind the curve’ in terms of preventing financial stress
• Portfolios need protection through more bond convexity and wider diversification
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